Millennials and Student Debt: We Knew They Were Wrong!

Millennials & Student Debt: We Knew They Were Wrong! | Keeping Current Matters

For almost a year now, we have been trying to debunk the myth that student debt is keeping the vast majority of Millennials from purchasing a home.

We explained that Millennials have purchased more homes over a recent twelve month period than any other generation as was reported by the National Association of Realtors).

We explained that the homeownership rate of people currently between the ages of 25-29 is 34.3%. That is higher than the 33.6% rate members of the previous generation (people currently between the ages of 45-49) achieved when they were that age (as per John Burns Consulting).

We explained that a recent survey showed that almost three out of every four (74%) young adults between the ages of 18-34 plan to buy a home in the next five years with 32% planning to do it in the next twelve months.

However, no matter how hard we tried, the same recourse was trumpeted back at us – What about student debt?

The good news is that the real facts about student debt are coming to light. Last week, The New York Times posted an article titled The Reality of Student Debt Is Different from the Clichés. This article went into great depth regarding the findings of a new study just released by the Brookings Institution, Is a Student Loan Crisis on the Horizon? which looked at data through 2010. The NYT article quoted key elements of the report:

  • 58% of young-adult households have less than $10,000 in debt. An additional 18% have between $10,000 and $20,000
  • 36% of households with people between the ages of 20 and 40 had education debt, up from 14% in 1989. Some of the increase stems from the good news that more people are going to college.
  • Taking financial aid into account, the average tuition at private (nonprofit) colleges has not increased any faster than overall inflation over the last decade.
  • Because the incomes of college graduates have grown since the early 1990s, the share of income that a typical student debtor has to devote to loan payments is only marginally higher than it was in the early 1990s — and somewhat lower than it was in late 1990s. It was 3.5% in 1992, 4.3% in 1998 and 4% in 2010.
  • The burden for the people with the most debt is significantly lower today than two decades ago. Someone at the 90th percentile of debt had to devote 15% of their income to repayment in 2010, down from 20% in 1992.

Bottom Line

The authors of the actual study put it simply in their conclusion:

“Despite the widely held belief that circumstances for borrowers with student loan debt are growing worse over time, our findings reveal no evidence in support of this narrative. In fact, the average growth in lifetime income among households with student loan debt easily exceeds the average growth in debt, suggesting that, all else equal, households with debt today are in a better financial position than households with debt were two decades ago. Furthermore, the incidence of burdensome monthly payments does not appear to have become more widespread over the last two decades.”

Millennials: They ARE Buying & Selling Houses

Millennials Are Buying & Selling Houses | The KCM Crew

A recent study by the National Association of Realtors, Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends, revealed that Millennials are a much higher percentage of the overall housing market than the public may realize. Here are the breakdowns:

BUYERS

Millennial Buyers | The KCM Crew

SELLERS

Millennial Sellers | The KCM Crew

Bottom Line

Contrary to what many believe, Millennials make up the largest percentage of all buyers and a substantial percentage of all sellers.

Millennials: Diversify with Housing

Justin DeCesare is back as our guest blogger today. Justin is the CEO of Middleton & Associates Real Estate, one of the largest independently owned Brokerages in coastal San Diego. 

A recent article written by Kelley Holland of CNBC titled “Retirement trumps home ownership for millennials” references a National Endowment for Financial Education study that claims only 13% of Millennials see home ownership as a top priority.

Half of the same sample claimed retirement saving was their primary goal.

To me, as both a Millennial and a Real Estate Broker/CEO, the answers to this survey stem from the perception of what home ownership is.

The last decade, or the fail decade as it is known by MSNBC’s Chris Hayes, has wiped out countless sums of home equity. Even in the gains of the last two years, we are not back at the record highs of 2005 and 2006.

The correlation here is that this decline in home prices is when Millennials have come of age. We have grown up in a time when people began treating home ownership like they would a swing trade. It became the same as renting, but with the possibility for a quick return. Pride of ownership left the picture and Real Estate was turned into another get rich quick scheme.

The free-market economics of the Real Estate Market took over when the bubble was too full, and for most of the average Millennials adult life they have heard nothing but Real Estate negativity in the media.

As the market rebounds, and the understanding that home ownership provides for long term wealth takes over the perception of how retirement savings can be made, I am sure future results of this study will change.

1994 was 20 years ago.

Go back in the public records (or your MLS if it reaches two decades ago) and find some homes that were sold and have remained with one owner since. Even considering the plummeting values of the late 2000s, the home values and retirement savings are still there.

As Agents and Brokers, it is our duty to help our clients and not simply act as a salesman.

My suggestion to you is that as you are breaking down the monthly payments of your young clients’ mortgage, help them see how the home itself is more than a dwelling and how it will play into the diversity of their retirement plans.

With Rates & Prices on the Rise, Do You Know the True Cost of Waiting?

Young Couple Moving HouseThere is a great opportunity that exists now for Millennials who are willing and able to purchase a home NOW… Here are a couple other ways to look at the cost of waiting.

Let’s say you’re 30 and your dream house costs $250,000 today, at 4.41% your monthly Mortgage Payment with Interest would be $1,253.38.

But you’re busy, you like your apartment, moving is such a hassle…You decide to wait till the end of next year to buy and all of a sudden, you’re 31, that same house is $270,000, at 5.7%. Your new payment per month is $1,567.08.

The difference in payment is $313.70 PER MONTH!

That’s like taking a $10 bill and tossing it out the window EVERY DAY!

Or you could look at it this way:

  • That’s your morning coffee everyday on the way to work (Average $2) with $12 left for lunch!
  • There goes Friday Sushi Night! ($80 x 4)
  • Stressed Out? How about 3 deep tissue massages with tip!
  • Need a new car? You could get a brand new $22,000 car for $313.00 per month.

Let’s look at that number annually! Over the course of your new mortgage at 5.7%, your annual additional cost would be $3,764.40!

Had your eye on a vacation in the Caribbean? How about a 2-week trip through Europe? Or maybe your new house could really use a deck for entertaining.  We could come up with 100’s of ways to spend $3,764, and we’re sure you could too!

Over the course of your 30 year loan, now at age 61, hopefully you are ready to retire soon, you would have spent an additional $112,932, all because when you were 30 you thought moving in 2014 was such a hassle or loved your apartment too much to leave yet.

Or maybe there wasn’t an agent out there who educated you on the true cost of waiting a year. Maybe they thought you wouldn’t be ready, but if they showed you that you could save $112,932, you’d at least listen to what they had to say.

They say hindsight is 20/20, we’d like to think that 30 years from now when you are 60, looking back, you would say to buy now…

Millennials & Income

Today, Justin DeCesare returns as our guest blogger.  Justin is the CEO of Middleton & Associates Real Estate in La Jolla, CA. – The KCM Crew

Millennials have become an important topic of discussion for media outlets and blogs throughout the Country. While some argue that my generation is blossoming later than our predecessors, optimists such as myself believe that with our rebounding economy will help Millennials finally arrive in the economic arena that allows them the growth potential generations before us were afforded.

While I truly believe Millennials are positioned to become an important force in the new economy, the widening economic policy that minimizes retirement accounts and creates underemployment of Millennials threatens what is now America’s largest demographic.

In his post for MSN, Austin Thompson points out that Millennials are now in peak childbearing age, and from a Real Estate, as well as a parental Standpoint, what goes hand in hand with raising a family is the desire to own a home.

Families want to put down roots. They want to know they have a certain level of security if possible, while growing some form of equity for retirement.

While slashing pensions and lower wages certainly puts a strain on Millennial workers, the ability to purchase Real Estate can still be a saving grace in the Millennial financial planning process.

As agents and brokers, we are meant to advise our clients. We can’t change the fact that outside economic factors can have a negative impact on the lives of our clients. What we can do is try and help Millennials understand that they can take their future, and subsequently their retirement, into their own hands.

Chances are, your average Millennial client, like their parents, will not be starting out with a beach front multi-million dollar estate. Our job, is to help explain the path that starting in smaller affordable homes now will have down the road, how it will help them grow, and how it will help them take control of their livelihood.

Do more than sell my generation a house…help them build a future.

Hispanic Millennials & Housing

Nielsen recently released their report “Millennials – Breaking the Myths” and today I want to focus on the information reported about Hispanic Millennials.

Of the 77 million Millennials, 19% are Hispanic. This group (age 18-36) is the most racially and ethnically diverse than any previous generation. According to this report, Nielsen expects the Hispanic population to grow by 167% by 2050.

Millennials are 14% first generation, and 12% second generation Americans, keeping strong ties to their home country, culture and language. For example:

1. 63% of the Millennials feel it is their responsibility to care for an elderly parent, according to Nielsen: “this is partially tied to the ethnic diversity of the generation. Typically ‘Hispanic and Asian Americans’ have cultural expectations that elderly family members will be cared for by the younger generations.”

This can help you to understand why when a Hispanic Millennial is looking for a home, they are requesting that extra bedroom.

2. 65% of Hispanic Millennials are U.S. Born and are more bilingual than other generations

  • In 2003, 34% were Spanish dominant, 44% English dominant, 22% bilingual
  • In 2013, 31% were Spanish dominant, 31% English dominant, 38% bilingual

“Today, the bilingual Hispanic is the dominant group within these Millennials.” According to this report, this is telling us that “Hispanics are choosing to speak more Spanish and maintain cultural ties.”

Where are they looking for homes?

This report revealed “62% of the Millennials prefer to live in the type of mixed-use communities found in urban centers where they live in close proximity to a mix of shopping, restaurants and offices. This is the first time since the 1920s where the growth in U.S. cities outpaces growth outside of the cities. And, 40 percent say they would like to live in an urban area in the future.

The “American Dream” is transitioning from the white picket fence in the suburbs to the historic brownstone stoop in the heart of the city” and the markets with a major concentration of Millennials reflect this desire:

Top 10 markets for Millennials (by %):

  • Austin, TX (16%)
  • Salt Lake City, UT (15%)
  • San Diego, CA (15%)
  • Los Angeles, CA (14%)
  • Denver, CO (14%)
  • Washington, DC (14%)
  • Houston, TX (14%)
  • Las Vegas, NV (14%)
  • San Francisco, CA (14%)
  • Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX (14%)

Do you have an urban center in your market place? If you already know that 40 percent say they will like to live in an urban area in the future. Are Hispanic Millennials a part of your business plan?

Who Says Millennials Are Not Buying Houses?

Millennials Moving InWe have often gone against the grain to promote the fact that Millennials have a stronger belief in homeownership than previous generations. Some have strongly disagreed. Well, a new study from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) found Millennials now account for the greatest market share of recent home purchases.

NAR’s Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends Study for 2014, revealed that Millennials comprised 31 percent of recent purchases, leading all other age groups. Here are the percentages for other generations:

  • 30% – Generation X
  • 30% – Boomer Generation
  • 9% – Silent Generation

NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun explained:

“Given that Millennials are the largest generation in history after the baby boomers, it means there is a potential for strong underlying demand. Moreover, their aspiration and the long-term investment aspect to owning a home remain solid among young people.”

Other findings from the report:

  • 87% of recent buyers age 33 and younger said they consider their home purchase a “good financial investment”
  • Millennials were most likely to have a simple desire to own a home of their own as their motive for purchasing
  • The median age of recent Millennial buyers was 29
  • The median income was $73,600.
  • 87% purchased an existing home, and they plan to stay in their homes for a median 10 years.
  • Younger buyers relied more heavily than older groups on real estate agents to help them navigate the process.

Bottom Line

Millennials are in the market and recognize the importance of using a real estate professional to guide them to the closing table.

Millennials: Optimistic & Ready to Buy

YoungFamilyHouseA recent survey by the PulteGroup revealed that the Millennial generation has a more optimistic outlook regarding the American economy than other generations. According to the survey, 54% of Millennials believe the economy is in better shape today than it was last year compared to only 41% of the total population.

It seems this optimism is impacting purchasing decisions as 74% of Millennials view now as an excellent or good time to buy the things they want or need. Jim Zeumer, vice president of corporate communications for the PulteGroup explained:

“No other cohort of adults is nearly as confident about their economic future as the millennials are right now. This is definitely a change, as millennials have regularly been viewed as the disenfranchised generation vastly affected by the fallout of the recession.  But now, with an increased sense of optimism, this generation is starting to feel as though they have the resources available to lead the lives they want or expect to in the future.”

WHAT ABOUT HOUSING?

Specific to real estate, the survey indicated:

  • 85% of Millennials plan to purchase a home in the future
  • 49% plan to purchase a home in the next two years
  • Of those planning to purchase in the near-term, 56 percent are current homeowners and 41 percent are renters
  • 65% prefer spending more money on a home that is move-in ready compared to doing renovations
  • 58% increased their interest in purchasing a home in the past year as the positive attributes of homeownership resonate with this generation.